La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Minnesota Lynx v Connecticut Sun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Lynx (Local)
Predicción 85.04%1.18momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -8.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.41%84.99%85.02%85.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.121.121.1692.59%89.21%89.29%86.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Connecticut Sun (Visitante)
Predicción 14.96%6.68momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -0.426%
Kelly -0.503%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.59%15.01%14.98%17.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.206.216.256.5019.23%16.10%16.00%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.74%EV -1.35%E -1.17%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.26%EV -16.83%E -3.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 23:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.94%EV -3.05%E -2.68%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 6.43I 15.55%NM 15.06%EV -3.81%E -0.593%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-06 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -5.16%E -0.814%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 23:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -5.16%E -0.814%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 23:54 |
| BetUS | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -5.76%E -0.914%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-06 23:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-06 17:40 |
| Bovada | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 23:49 |
| Neds | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 17:34 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.24%E -2.28%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-06 17:28 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.99%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 23:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 17:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 23:05 |
| Caesars | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 19:39 |
| GTbets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 23:05 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 17:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.26%E -0.666%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 17:29 |
| ReBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.26%E -0.666%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 18:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.26%E -0.666%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 17:23 |
| Fliff | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.26%E -0.666%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 23:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 23:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 23:50 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
| betPARX | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 22:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.25%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 23:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.73%E -3.22%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 22:59 |
| 888sport | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 17:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| Betsson | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 17:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 17:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -22.21%E -4.27%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-06 19:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -8.16%E -7.55%K -101.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -13.24%E -2.28%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-06 22:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-06 23:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-06 23:55 |
| Novig | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.65% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.35% | 1.0% | 2026-07-06 23:35 |
| Polymarket | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-07-06 22:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-07-06 18:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-07-06 23:30 |