L’École des cotes

Minnesota Lynx v Connecticut Sun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-07 00:00 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Lynx 89–90 Connecticut Sun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prévision 85.04%1.18cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -8.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.41%84.99%85.02%85.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.121.121.1692.59%89.21%89.29%86.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Connecticut Sun (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.96%6.68cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -0.426%
Kelly -0.503%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.59%15.01%14.98%17.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.206.216.256.5019.23%16.10%16.00%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.74%EV -1.35%E -1.17%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.26%EV -16.83%E -3.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 23:35
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 84.94%EV -3.05%E -2.68%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 15.06%EV -3.81%E -0.593%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-06 23:55
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -5.16%E -0.814%K -0.966%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 23:54
BetOnline.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -5.16%E -0.814%K -0.966%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 23:54
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -5.76%E -0.914%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 23:30
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 17:40
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 23:49
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 17:34
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.24%E -2.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-06 17:28
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.90%E -3.45%K -30.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.99%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 23:00
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:39
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:29
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 23:05
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 19:39
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 23:05
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:25
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.26%E -0.666%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 17:29
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.26%E -0.666%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 18:04
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.26%E -0.666%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 17:23
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.26%E -0.666%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 23:54
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 23:50
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 23:50
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:49
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:50
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:49
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:50
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:50
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:50
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:50
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.51%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:49
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.25%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 23:55
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 17:30
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.75%E -4.24%K -39.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.73%E -3.22%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 22:59
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:25
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 20:45
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:30
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.77%E -0.426%K -0.503%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:30
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 17:25
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.25%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 17:25
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -5.60%E -5.05%K -50.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -22.21%E -4.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-06 19:35
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -8.16%E -7.55%K -101.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -13.24%E -2.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-06 22:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-07-06 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-07-06 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-07-06 23:55
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-07-06 23:55
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.65%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.35%1.0%2026-07-06 23:35
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-07-06 22:25
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-07-06 18:30
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-07-06 23:30