The School of Odds

Los Angeles Sparks v Phoenix Mercury

2026-07-22 19:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prediction 52.18%1.92fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -4.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.25%52.22%54.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.681.801.801.8560%56%56%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Phoenix Mercury (Visit)

Prediction 47.82%2.09fair odd
EV -0.536%
Edge -0.258%
Kelly -0.496%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.65%47.75%47.78%48.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.902.002.002.0853%50%50%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.47%E -1.87%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 02:35
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.47%E -1.87%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:05
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.47%E -1.87%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:05
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 04:25
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 16:20
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 02:25
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:05
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 07:29
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 11:05
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 11:10
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:04
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.84%E -2.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 19:05
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 16:20
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.80%E -2.94%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 16:19
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.67%E -4.54%K -9.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 15:05
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.41%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 20:10
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 16:05
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.03%E -2.76%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.84%E -2.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 16:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 02:20
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 02:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 02:25
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 16:20
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 16:19
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 16:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 19:00
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.14%E -4.81%K -10.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 19:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.14%E -4.81%K -10.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 20:00
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.14%E -4.81%K -10.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 19:59
ReBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.60%E -3.69%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 16:20
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.16%E -4.64%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.536%E -0.258%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.16%E -4.64%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.536%E -0.258%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 13:40
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.16%E -4.64%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.536%E -0.258%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 13:40
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.16%E -4.64%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.536%E -0.258%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 13:40
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.16%E -4.64%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.536%E -0.258%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 13:40
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.16%E -4.64%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.536%E -0.258%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 13:40
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.16%E -4.64%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.536%E -0.258%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 13:40
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.16%E -4.64%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -0.536%E -0.258%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 13:39
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.536%E -0.258%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 13:40
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -0.536%E -0.258%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 13:40
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -11.06%E -5.94%K -12.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-20 07:25
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.73%E -5.62%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 16:19
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -12.34%E -7.34%K -18.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-21 00:05
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-07-20 23:55
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.1%2026-07-20 21:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%4.9%2026-07-21 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%4.9%2026-07-21 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%5.1%2026-07-21 00:05