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Los Angeles Sparks v Phoenix Mercury
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Predicción 51.40%1.95momio equitativo
EV +0.737%
Ventaja +0.376%
Kelly +0.768%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.09%51.60%51.06%53.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.761.851.851.9656.82%54.06%54.05%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)
Predicción 48.60%2.06momio equitativo
EV -0.363%
Ventaja -0.177%
Kelly -0.346%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.75%48.40%48.94%50.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.951.952.0554.05%51.16%51.28%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 51.40%; Phoenix Mercury (Visitante): 48.60%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.95. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.96, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.737%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV +0.737%E +0.376%K +0.768%G +0.006% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -8.14%E -4.31%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -1.83%E -0.960%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.83%E -0.960%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.37%E -1.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.37%E -1.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.40%E -2.37%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 18:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.37%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.37%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 18:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.37%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 18:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -0.363%E -0.177%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-22 18:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -0.363%E -0.177%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-22 18:47 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.20%E -3.21%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 18:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.68%E -3.48%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.68%E -3.48%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.77%E -1.90%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.74%E -2.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.74%E -2.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 18:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 18:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.363%E -0.177%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 15:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 15:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.08%E -5.45%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -9.54%E -5.42%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.63%E -4.59%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 18:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-07-22 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-07-22 19:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-07-22 19:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 19:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-07-22 18:59 |