A Escola das Odds

Los Angeles Sparks v Phoenix Mercury

Início: 2026-07-22 19:05 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 82–86 Phoenix Mercury

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Previsão 51.40%1.95odd justa
EV +0.737%
Vantagem +0.376%
Kelly +0.768%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.09%51.60%51.06%53.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.761.851.851.9656.82%54.06%54.05%51.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)

Previsão 48.60%2.06odd justa
EV -0.363%
Vantagem -0.177%
Kelly -0.346%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.75%48.40%48.94%50.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.851.951.952.0554.05%51.16%51.28%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV +0.737%E +0.376%K +0.768%G +0.006%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -8.14%E -4.31%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 18:34
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -1.83%E -0.960%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 18:24
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.83%E -0.960%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.37%E -1.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 18:24
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.37%E -1.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 18:59
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:24
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:14
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:24
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:19
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:15
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:39
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:14
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:14
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 18:39
Betr (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.40%E -2.37%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 18:49
ReBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.37%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 18:24
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.37%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 18:49
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.37%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 18:28
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -0.363%E -0.177%K -0.346%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-22 18:49
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -0.363%E -0.177%K -0.346%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-22 18:47
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:34
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:34
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:34
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:34
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:34
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:34
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 18:05
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.20%E -3.21%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 18:33
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.68%E -3.48%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 18:24
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.68%E -3.48%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 18:24
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 17:09
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.77%E -1.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 18:59
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.74%E -2.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 18:34
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.74%E -2.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 18:35
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 18:59
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 18:24
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.363%E -0.177%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 17:59
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 15:19
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 15:19
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 15:19
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 19:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.75%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 18:59
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.08%E -5.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 18:39
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -9.54%E -5.42%K -12.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.63%E -4.59%K -9.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 18:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-22 18:59
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-22 19:00
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%0.6%2026-07-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-22 19:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-22 19:00
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-22 18:59
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-22 18:59