The School of Odds

Los Angeles Sparks v Indiana Fever

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 02:03 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 106–92 Indiana Fever

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prediction 32.71%3.06fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +0.961%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.84%32.50%32.68%33.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.752.922.903.1536.36%34.19%34.48%31.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Indiana Fever (Visit)

Prediction 67.29%1.49fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -8.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%67.50%67.32%70.16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.341.411.411.4374.63%71.09%70.92%69.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +3.03%E +0.961%K +1.41%G +0.043%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 02:00
Fliff3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +3.03%E +0.961%K +1.41%G +0.043%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -9.83%E -7.33%K -28.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 01:59
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.39%E +0.449%K +0.663%G +0.009%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 02:00
BetAnything3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.39%E +0.449%K +0.663%G +0.009%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 02:00
LowVig.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +0.412%E +0.134%K +0.199%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 02:00
Pinnacle3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV +0.084%E +0.028%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 02:00
Bet Victor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.243%E -0.080%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 02:00
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.243%E -0.080%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 01:59
GTbets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.243%E -0.080%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.46%E -4.65%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 01:59
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.88%E -0.626%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 02:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.77%E -2.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 01:59
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 02:00
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 01:59
MyBookie.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -3.84%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 01:59
Caesars2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.49%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.77%E -2.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 01:57
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.49%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 02:00
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.77%E -2.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 02:00
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
ReBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 01:59
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 02:00
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 02:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 01:59
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 01:59
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 02:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 01:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 01:59
FanDuel2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.46%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.77%E -2.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
SportsBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -6.46%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 02:00
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 02:00
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 01:59
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 02:00
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 01:59
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 02:00
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 01:59
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -9.15%E -6.78%K -26.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-09 02:00
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-09 02:00
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.48%E -6.24%K -23.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-09 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-07-09 02:00
Polymarket3.16I 31.65%NM 31.45%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.55%0.6%2026-07-09 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-07-09 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-07-09 02:00
Novig3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%1.0%2026-07-09 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-07-09 02:00
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%2.0%2026-07-09 02:00
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%2.2%2026-07-09 02:00