A Escola das Odds

Los Angeles Sparks v Indiana Fever

Início: 2026-07-09 02:03 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 106–92 Indiana Fever

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Previsão 32.71%3.06odd justa
EV +3.03%
Vantagem +0.961%
Kelly +1.41%
Crescimento +0.043%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.84%32.50%32.68%33.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.922.903.1536.36%34.19%34.48%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Indiana Fever (Visitante)

Previsão 67.29%1.49odd justa
EV -3.77%
Vantagem -2.64%
Kelly -8.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.27%67.50%67.32%70.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.341.411.411.4374.63%71.09%70.92%69.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +3.03%E +0.961%K +1.41%G +0.043%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 02:00
Fliff3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +3.03%E +0.961%K +1.41%G +0.043%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -9.83%E -7.33%K -28.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 01:59
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.39%E +0.449%K +0.663%G +0.009%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 02:00
BetAnything3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.39%E +0.449%K +0.663%G +0.009%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 02:00
LowVig.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +0.412%E +0.134%K +0.199%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 02:00
Pinnacle3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV +0.084%E +0.028%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 02:00
Bet Victor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.243%E -0.080%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 02:00
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.243%E -0.080%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 01:59
GTbets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.243%E -0.080%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.46%E -4.65%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 01:59
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.88%E -0.626%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 02:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.77%E -2.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 01:59
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 02:00
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 01:59
MyBookie.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -3.84%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 01:59
Caesars2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.49%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.77%E -2.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 01:57
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.49%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 02:00
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.77%E -2.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 02:00
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
ReBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 01:59
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 02:00
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 02:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 01:59
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 01:59
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 02:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 01:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 01:59
FanDuel2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.46%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.77%E -2.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:00
SportsBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -6.46%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 02:00
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 02:00
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 01:59
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 02:00
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 01:59
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 02:00
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 01:59
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -9.15%E -6.78%K -26.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-09 02:00
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-09 02:00
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.48%E -6.24%K -23.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-09 02:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-07-09 02:00
Polymarket3.16I 31.65%NM 31.45%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.55%0.6%2026-07-09 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-07-09 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-07-09 02:00
Novig3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%1.0%2026-07-09 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-07-09 02:00
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%2.0%2026-07-09 02:00
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%2.2%2026-07-09 02:00