La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Los Angeles Sparks v Indiana Fever
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Predicción 32.71%3.06momio equitativo
EV +3.03%
Ventaja +0.961%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.043%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.84%32.50%32.68%33.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.922.903.1536.36%34.19%34.48%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Indiana Fever (Visitante)
Predicción 67.29%1.49momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -2.64%
Kelly -8.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.27%67.50%67.32%70.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.411.411.4374.63%71.09%70.92%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +3.03%E +0.961%K +1.41%G +0.043% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Fliff | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +3.03%E +0.961%K +1.41%G +0.043% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -9.83%E -7.33%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.39%E +0.449%K +0.663%G +0.009% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| BetAnything | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.39%E +0.449%K +0.663%G +0.009% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +0.412%E +0.134%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV +0.084%E +0.028%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.243%E -0.080%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.243%E -0.080%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| GTbets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.243%E -0.080%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.46%E -4.65%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.88%E -0.626%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.77%E -2.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.51%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -3.84%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| Caesars | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.49%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.77%E -2.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-09 01:57 |
| Bet Right | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.49%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.77%E -2.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Unibet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| ReBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| betPARX | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.46%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.77%E -2.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -6.46%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Neds | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| Betway | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| Betsson | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.78%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-09 01:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -9.15%E -6.78%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.05%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.48%E -6.24%K -23.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 0.2% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Polymarket | 3.16I 31.65%NM 31.45% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.55% | 0.6% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Novig | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84% | 1.0% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 2.0% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |
| ProphetX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 2.2% | 2026-07-09 02:00 |