Language:English
Los Angeles Sparks v Indiana Fever
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Prediction 48.95%2.04fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.80%49.06%48.95%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.941.952.0054.95%51.55%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Indiana Fever (Visit)
Prediction 51.05%1.96fair odd
EV +0.066%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.069%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.94%51.05%54.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.851.851.9659.17%53.91%54.05%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 48.95%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 51.05%. For Indiana Fever (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.959. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.960, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.066%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -7.49%E -3.96%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV +0.066%E +0.034%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 02:31 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.47%E -4.53%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.445%E -0.228%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.49%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 02:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.49%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 02:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.49%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 02:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.00%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.69%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.00%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 02:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 02:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 02:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 02:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.53%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 02:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.09%E -1.56%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 02:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 02:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.53%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 02:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.53%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.02%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 02:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.02%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 02:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.00%E -3.69%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.09%E -1.56%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 02:31 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.88%EV -10.92%E -6.00%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.12%EV -11.17%E -6.42%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.68%E -6.75%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -13.72%E -8.12%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99% | 6.3% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97% | 6.5% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99% | 8.9% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27% | 9.9% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27% | 9.9% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 50.00% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 50.00% | 50.4% | 2026-05-14 02:35 |