A Escola das Odds

Los Angeles Sparks v Indiana Fever

Início: 2026-05-14 02:37 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 78–87 Indiana Fever

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Previsão 48.95%2.04odd justa
EV -2.11%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -2.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.80%49.06%48.95%51.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.821.941.952.0054.95%51.55%51.28%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Indiana Fever (Visitante)

Previsão 51.05%1.96odd justa
EV +0.066%
Vantagem +0.034%
Kelly +0.069%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.95%50.94%51.05%54.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.691.851.851.9659.17%53.91%54.05%51.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -7.49%E -3.96%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV +0.066%E +0.034%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 02:31
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.47%E -4.53%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.445%E -0.228%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:35
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.49%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 02:29
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.49%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 02:29
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.49%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 02:29
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.00%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 02:35
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.00%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:31
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 02:35
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:35
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:35
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:35
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:29
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:35
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 02:29
ReBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 02:29
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.53%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 02:35
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:35
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:35
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:33
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.09%E -1.56%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 02:34
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 02:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 02:35
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 02:34
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.53%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 02:29
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.53%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 02:35
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.02%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 02:29
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.02%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 02:29
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.00%E -3.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 02:35
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.09%E -1.56%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 02:35
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 02:31
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 02:35
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 02:35
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.88%EV -10.92%E -6.00%K -13.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.12%EV -11.17%E -6.42%K -15.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-14 02:35
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.68%E -6.75%K -16.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 02:35
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -13.72%E -8.12%K -19.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 02:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%4.9%2026-05-14 02:35
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%6.3%2026-05-14 02:35
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%6.5%2026-05-14 02:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%8.9%2026-05-14 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%9.9%2026-05-14 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%9.9%2026-05-14 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 50.00%1.33I 75.19%NM 50.00%50.4%2026-05-14 02:35