L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Sparks v Indiana Fever

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 02:37 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Sparks 78–87 Indiana Fever

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prévision 48.95%2.04cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -2.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.80%49.06%48.95%51.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.941.952.0054.95%51.55%51.28%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Indiana Fever (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.05%1.96cote équitable
EV +0.066%
Avantage +0.034%
Kelly +0.069%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%50.94%51.05%54.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.691.851.851.9659.17%53.91%54.05%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -7.49%E -3.96%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV +0.066%E +0.034%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 02:31
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.47%E -4.53%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.445%E -0.228%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:35
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.49%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 02:29
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.49%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 02:29
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.49%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 02:29
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.00%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 02:35
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.00%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:31
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 02:35
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:35
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:35
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:35
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:29
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:35
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 02:29
ReBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 02:29
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.53%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 02:35
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:35
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:35
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 02:33
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.09%E -1.56%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 02:34
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 02:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 02:35
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 02:35
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 02:34
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.53%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 02:29
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.53%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 02:35
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.02%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 02:29
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.02%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 02:29
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.00%E -3.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 02:35
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.09%E -1.56%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 02:35
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 02:31
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 02:35
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 02:35
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.88%EV -10.92%E -6.00%K -13.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.12%EV -11.17%E -6.42%K -15.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-14 02:35
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.68%E -6.75%K -16.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 02:35
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -13.72%E -8.12%K -19.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 02:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%4.9%2026-05-14 02:35
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%6.3%2026-05-14 02:35
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%6.5%2026-05-14 02:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%8.9%2026-05-14 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%9.9%2026-05-14 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%9.9%2026-05-14 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 50.00%1.33I 75.19%NM 50.00%50.4%2026-05-14 02:35