Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Sparks v Golden State Valkyries

2026-08-09 23:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prediction 33.88%2.95fair odd
EV +10.80%
Edge +3.30%
Kelly +4.76%
Growth +0.514%

assuming max odds 3.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.37%33.88%33.85%35.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.812.803.2739.22%35.53%35.71%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Golden State Valkyries (Visit)

Prediction 66.12%1.51fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -4.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.23%66.12%66.15%70.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.421.4873.53%70.14%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 33.88%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 66.12%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.27, producing a positive expected value of +10.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV +10.80%E +3.30%K +4.76%G +0.514%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -10.08%E -7.41%K -28.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 04:15
Bet Right🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -1.06%E -0.363%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 05:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.74%E -0.599%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 05:15
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.43%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 05:34
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.43%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 05:14
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.43%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 05:35
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 04:45
SportsBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -3.77%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.82%EV -6.78%E -4.81%K -16.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 04:45
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.15%E -1.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 05:15
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.47%E -2.38%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 04:15
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 04:40
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.13%E -2.85%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 05:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 05:15
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 05:15
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 05:15
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 05:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 05:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.79%E -3.33%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 05:15
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 03:50
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.44%E -5.31%K -18.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 05:15
ReBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -7.84%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 05:15
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -13.60%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.12%E -4.31%K -14.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 05:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-08-08 06:20
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%3.0%2026-08-08 07:30
Arbitrage (4 combinations) +1.89%1xBet 3.27 (31.2%) / theScore Bet 1.48 (68.8%)Show all 4 combinations
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)Golden State Valkyries (Visit)Margin
1xBet🎯 3.27 (31.2%)theScore Bet🎯 1.48 (68.8%)+1.89%
1xBet🎯 3.27 (30.9%)DraftKings🎯 1.46 (69.1%)+0.934%
1xBet🎯 3.27 (30.7%)Fanatics🎯 1.45 (69.3%)+0.456%
1xBet🎯 3.27 (30.7%)GTbets🎯 1.45 (69.3%)+0.456%