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Los Angeles Sparks v Golden State Valkyries
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Prediction 29.95%3.34fair odd
EV +3.32%
Edge +0.964%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%29.90%29.84%32.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.143.103.4534.72%31.84%32.26%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Golden State Valkyries (Visit)
Prediction 70.05%1.43fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -8.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.92%70.10%70.16%72.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.361.361.3876.34%73.47%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 29.95%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 70.05%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +3.32%E +0.964%K +1.36%G +0.045% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +1.83%E +0.537%K +0.761%G +0.014% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +1.83%E +0.537%K +0.761%G +0.014% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.83%E +0.537%K +0.761%G +0.014% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.17%E -0.354%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.17%E -0.354%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 22:58 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.17%E -0.354%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.66%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.66%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -2.96%E -0.915%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.56%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -8.23%E -6.29%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -5.96%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -6.26%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -13.75%E -4.77%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |