Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Sparks v Golden State Valkyries

Início: 2026-08-09 23:04 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 78–84 Golden State Valkyries

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Previsão 29.95%3.34odd justa
EV +3.32%
Vantagem +0.964%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescimento +0.045%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.97%29.90%29.84%32.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.143.103.4534.72%31.84%32.26%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Previsão 70.05%1.43odd justa
EV -3.33%
Vantagem -2.41%
Kelly -8.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.92%70.10%70.16%72.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.311.361.361.3876.34%73.47%73.53%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 29.95%; Golden State Valkyries (Visitante): 70.05%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.34. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.32%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +3.32%E +0.964%K +1.36%G +0.045%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 22:49
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +1.83%E +0.537%K +0.761%G +0.014%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 22:59
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +1.83%E +0.537%K +0.761%G +0.014%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 23:00
ReBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.83%E +0.537%K +0.761%G +0.014%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 22:59
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.17%E -0.354%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 23:00
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.17%E -0.354%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 22:58
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.17%E -0.354%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 22:59
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.66%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 23:00
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.66%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 23:00
Pinnacle🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -2.96%E -0.915%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 22:55
Caesars🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.56%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 23:00
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 23:00
GTbets🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 22:55
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 21:55
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 21:20
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 22:55
Fliff🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -8.23%E -6.29%K -26.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -5.96%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 22:59
1xBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -6.26%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 21:20
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 21:20
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 22:59
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:45
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 23:00
SportsBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 21:55
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 21:55
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 20:50
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 20:50
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 20:45
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 20:49
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 20:50
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 22:59
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 22:59
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 22:50
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 21:50
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 22:55
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -13.75%E -4.77%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 21:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-08-09 23:00
Matchbook◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-08-09 23:00
Polymarket◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%1.0%2026-08-09 23:00
Novig◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%1.0%2026-08-09 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-08-09 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%1.2%2026-08-09 23:00
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-08-09 23:00
ProphetX◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%4.4%2026-08-09 23:00