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Los Angeles Sparks v Golden State Valkyries
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Predicción 29.95%3.34momio equitativo
EV +3.32%
Ventaja +0.964%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.045%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%29.90%29.84%32.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.143.103.4534.72%31.84%32.26%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)
Predicción 70.05%1.43momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -2.41%
Kelly -8.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.92%70.10%70.16%72.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.311.361.361.3876.34%73.47%73.53%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 29.95%; Golden State Valkyries (Visitante): 70.05%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.34. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.32%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +3.32%E +0.964%K +1.36%G +0.045% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +1.83%E +0.537%K +0.761%G +0.014% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +1.83%E +0.537%K +0.761%G +0.014% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.83%E +0.537%K +0.761%G +0.014% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.17%E -0.354%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.17%E -0.354%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 22:58 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.17%E -0.354%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.66%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.66%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -2.96%E -0.915%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.56%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.03%E -2.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -8.23%E -6.29%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -5.96%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -6.26%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -8.36%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.33%E -2.41%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -13.75%E -4.77%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 21:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 23:00 |