Language:English
Los Angeles Sparks v Connecticut Sun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Prediction 64.41%1.55fair odd
EV +0.478%
Edge +0.306%
Kelly +0.853%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.25%64.22%64.40%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.501.491.5669.93%66.84%67.11%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Connecticut Sun (Visit)
Prediction 35.59%2.81fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -0.798%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.21%35.78%35.60%38.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.622.652.7742.55%38.10%37.74%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 64.41%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 35.59%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.478%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.166%E -0.107%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -12.80%E -5.23%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.166%E -0.107%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -12.80%E -5.23%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.74%E -1.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 21:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-23 00:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-23 00:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-23 00:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 21:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.41%E -0.510%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.41%E -0.510%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 20:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 19:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -1.77%E -0.641%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 01:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 00:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -16.36%E -6.96%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -1.77%E -0.641%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.19%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 00:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 00:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 01:02 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.25%E -5.04%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.25%E -5.04%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 14:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.90%E -5.52%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 00:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-08-23 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |