Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Sparks v Connecticut Sun

Início: 2026-08-23 01:06 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 77–68 Connecticut Sun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Previsão 64.41%1.55odd justa
EV +0.478%
Vantagem +0.306%
Kelly +0.853%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.25%64.22%64.40%65.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.431.501.491.5669.93%66.84%67.11%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Previsão 35.59%2.81odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.510%
Kelly -0.798%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.21%35.78%35.60%38.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.622.652.7742.55%38.10%37.74%36.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 64.41%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 35.59%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.55. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.56, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.478%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:04
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:00
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:04
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.166%E -0.107%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -12.80%E -5.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 01:04
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.166%E -0.107%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -12.80%E -5.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 01:04
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.74%E -1.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 21:39
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-23 00:48
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-23 00:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 00:59
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 20:54
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 21:34
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 19:14
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.41%E -0.510%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.41%E -0.510%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 00:39
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 20:14
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 19:49
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -1.77%E -0.641%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 01:05
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 01:01
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 00:08
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 19:15
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 00:59
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 14:04
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 01:00
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 20:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -16.36%E -6.96%K -12.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 01:05
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -1.77%E -0.641%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.19%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 00:55
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 00:50
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:59
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 01:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 01:04
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 01:02
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 01:04
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.25%E -5.04%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:34
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.25%E -5.04%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 14:05
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.90%E -5.52%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 00:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-22 19:00
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-08-23 01:05
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-08-23 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-08-23 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-08-23 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-08-23 01:05
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-23 01:05
ProphetX◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.9%2026-08-23 01:05