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Los Angeles Sparks v Connecticut Sun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Predicción 64.41%1.55momio equitativo
EV +0.478%
Ventaja +0.306%
Kelly +0.853%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.25%64.22%64.40%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.501.491.5669.93%66.84%67.11%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Connecticut Sun (Visitante)
Predicción 35.59%2.81momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.510%
Kelly -0.798%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.21%35.78%35.60%38.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.622.652.7742.55%38.10%37.74%36.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 64.41%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 35.59%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.55. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.56, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.478%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV +0.478%E +0.306%K +0.853%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -11.73%E -4.73%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.166%E -0.107%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -12.80%E -5.23%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.166%E -0.107%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -12.80%E -5.23%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.74%E -1.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 21:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-23 00:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-23 00:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-23 00:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 21:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.41%E -0.510%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.41%E -0.510%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 20:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.03%E -2.71%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 19:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -1.77%E -0.641%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 01:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 00:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -4.68%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -16.36%E -6.96%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -1.77%E -0.641%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.19%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 00:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 00:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 01:02 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 01:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.25%E -5.04%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.25%E -5.04%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 14:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.90%E -5.52%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.12%E -0.772%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 00:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-08-23 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 01:05 |