Language:English
Los Angeles Sparks v Atlanta Dream
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Prediction 16.90%5.92fair odd
EV +9.87%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.177%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%17.18%17.11%20.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.555.506.5022.73%18.00%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Dream (Visit)
Prediction 83.10%1.20fair odd
EV -0.283%
Edge -0.236%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.14%82.82%82.89%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.151.141.2090.91%87.15%87.72%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 16.90%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 83.10%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.92. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +9.87%E +1.52%K +1.79%G +0.177% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.93%E -6.19%K -57.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 02:03 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV +9.19%E +1.42%K +1.68%G +0.155% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -6.10%E -5.40%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-25 01:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV +9.19%E +1.42%K +1.68%G +0.155% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -6.10%E -5.40%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-25 01:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +8.18%E +1.28%K +1.51%G +0.124% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.93%E -6.19%K -57.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 01:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +3.11%E +0.509%K +0.609%G +0.019% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 01:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 01:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 01:08 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.99I 16.69%NM 16.11%EV +1.25%E +0.208%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.89%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-25 01:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -0.273%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.96%E -0.339%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 01:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.34%E -0.954%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.34%E -0.954%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 01:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 01:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.10%E -5.40%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.10%E -5.40%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.93%E -6.19%K -57.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 01:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.72%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 01:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -0.283%E -0.236%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-25 01:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -0.283%E -0.236%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-25 01:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.54%EV -8.59%E -7.81%K -85.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-25 01:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -1.11%E -0.936%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.78%E -2.37%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 01:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-25 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -18.87%E -3.93%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.95%E -1.65%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 02:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -19.71%E -4.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -1.95%E -1.65%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -19.71%E -4.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -1.95%E -1.65%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-25 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -25.63%E -5.82%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -3.61%E -3.11%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.76% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.24% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 01:19 |
| Novig◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53% | 1.7% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53% | 1.7% | 2026-08-25 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 2.1% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |