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Los Angeles Sparks v Atlanta Dream
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Predicción 16.90%5.92momio equitativo
EV +9.87%
Ventaja +1.52%
Kelly +1.79%
Crecimiento +0.177%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.70%17.18%17.11%20.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.405.555.506.5022.73%18.00%18.18%15.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlanta Dream (Visitante)
Predicción 83.10%1.20momio equitativo
EV -0.283%
Ventaja -0.236%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.14%82.82%82.89%85.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.101.151.141.2090.91%87.15%87.72%83.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 16.90%; Atlanta Dream (Visitante): 83.10%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.92. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.87%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +9.87%E +1.52%K +1.79%G +0.177% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.93%E -6.19%K -57.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 02:03 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV +9.19%E +1.42%K +1.68%G +0.155% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -6.10%E -5.40%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-25 01:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV +9.19%E +1.42%K +1.68%G +0.155% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -6.10%E -5.40%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-25 01:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +8.18%E +1.28%K +1.51%G +0.124% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.93%E -6.19%K -57.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 01:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +3.11%E +0.509%K +0.609%G +0.019% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 01:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 01:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 01:08 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.99I 16.69%NM 16.11%EV +1.25%E +0.208%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.89%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-25 01:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -0.273%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.96%E -0.339%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 01:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.34%E -0.954%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.34%E -0.954%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 01:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 01:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 00:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 01:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.10%E -5.40%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.10%E -5.40%K -46.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-25 01:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.93%E -6.19%K -57.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 01:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.72%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 01:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -0.283%E -0.236%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-25 01:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -0.283%E -0.236%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-25 01:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.54%EV -8.59%E -7.81%K -85.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-25 01:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -1.11%E -0.936%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.78%E -2.37%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 01:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-25 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -18.87%E -3.93%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.95%E -1.65%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 02:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -19.71%E -4.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -1.95%E -1.65%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -19.71%E -4.15%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -1.95%E -1.65%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-25 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -25.63%E -5.82%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -3.61%E -3.11%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.76% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.24% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 01:19 |
| Novig◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53% | 1.7% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53% | 1.7% | 2026-08-25 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 2.1% | 2026-08-25 02:04 |