Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Sparks v Atlanta Dream

Início: 2026-08-25 02:13 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 71–78 Atlanta Dream

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Previsão 16.90%5.92odd justa
EV +9.87%
Vantagem +1.52%
Kelly +1.79%
Crescimento +0.177%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.70%17.18%17.11%20.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.405.555.506.5022.73%18.00%18.18%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Dream (Visitante)

Previsão 83.10%1.20odd justa
EV -0.283%
Vantagem -0.236%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
79.14%82.82%82.89%85.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.101.151.141.2090.91%87.15%87.72%83.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 16.90%; Atlanta Dream (Visitante): 83.10%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.92. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.87%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +9.87%E +1.52%K +1.79%G +0.177%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.93%E -6.19%K -57.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 02:03
LowVig.ag🎯6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV +9.19%E +1.42%K +1.68%G +0.155%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -6.10%E -5.40%K -46.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 01:54
BetOnline.ag🎯6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV +9.19%E +1.42%K +1.68%G +0.155%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -6.10%E -5.40%K -46.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 01:54
Fliff🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +8.18%E +1.28%K +1.51%G +0.124%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.93%E -6.19%K -57.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 01:54
GTbets🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +3.11%E +0.509%K +0.609%G +0.019%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 01:49
Fanatics🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 01:04
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 01:09
Caesars🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 01:09
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 01:08
BetAnything🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.42%E +0.236%K +0.283%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 01:09
Pinnacle🎯5.99I 16.69%NM 16.11%EV +1.25%E +0.208%K +0.250%G +0.003%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.89%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-25 01:54
BetUS🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -0.273%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 01:09
ReBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.96%E -0.339%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 01:19
Neds🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.34%E -0.954%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.34%E -0.954%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 01:09
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:49
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:49
Unibet (NL)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:24
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:24
Unibet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:24
TABtouch🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:24
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:24
Svenska Spel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:24
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:24
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:24
Bally Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:23
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 01:54
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 00:14
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 00:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 00:14
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 01:08
NordicBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.10%E -5.40%K -46.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 01:09
Betsson🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.10%E -5.40%K -46.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 01:09
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.03%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.93%E -6.19%K -57.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 01:04
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.72%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.44%E -3.86%K -29.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 01:54
Bet Victor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -0.283%E -0.236%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-25 01:49
betano_uk🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -0.283%E -0.236%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-25 01:49
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -12.11%E -2.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.54%EV -8.59%E -7.81%K -85.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 01:49
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -1.11%E -0.936%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 02:04
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.78%E -2.37%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 01:59
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.27%E -4.62%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 01:54
MyBookie.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -18.87%E -3.93%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.95%E -1.65%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 02:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -19.71%E -4.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -1.95%E -1.65%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 02:04
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -19.71%E -4.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -1.95%E -1.65%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 02:00
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -25.63%E -5.82%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -3.61%E -3.11%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-25 02:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-08-25 02:04
ProphetX◎6.70I 14.93%NM 14.76%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.24%1.1%2026-08-25 02:04
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-08-25 02:04
Polymarket◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-08-25 01:19
Novig◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-08-25 02:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%1.7%2026-08-25 02:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%1.7%2026-08-25 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%2.1%2026-08-25 02:04