Language:English
Los Angeles Sparks v Atlanta Dream
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Prediction 22.84%4.38fair odd
EV +8.03%
Edge +1.70%
Kelly +2.15%
Growth +0.173%
assuming max odds 4.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.97%22.86%22.79%24.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.124.154.7326.67%24.24%24.10%21.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Dream (Visit)
Prediction 77.16%1.30fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -10.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.45%77.14%77.21%80.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.241.241.2684.75%80.88%80.65%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 22.84%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 77.16%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 4.73I 21.14%NM 19.97%EV +8.03%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.173% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.03%EV -8.95%E -7.59%K -49.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV +3.92%E +0.862%K +1.10%G +0.043% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.18%E -6.87%K -43.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 01:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.495%E +0.112%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 20:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.02%EV +0.266%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.98%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -0.647%E -0.149%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 02:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.79%E -0.416%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-20 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.79%E -0.416%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.79%E -0.416%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 01:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.79%E -0.416%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 01:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-21 01:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-21 01:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 21:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 21:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.09%E -4.14%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 01:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 20:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.09%E -4.14%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 00:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.09%E -4.14%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 00:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.09%E -4.14%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 01:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 01:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.22%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -7.50%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -7.50%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 21:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 00:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-20 21:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 00:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 01:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 01:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 01:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.21%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-21 02:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.21%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -7.41%E -6.17%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 01:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.35%E -3.83%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-20 20:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 01:49 |
| Novig◎ | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 2.0% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 2.3% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |