Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Sparks v Atlanta Dream

Início: 2026-08-21 02:06 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 88–124 Atlanta Dream

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Previsão 22.84%4.38odd justa
EV +8.03%
Vantagem +1.70%
Kelly +2.15%
Crescimento +0.173%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.97%22.86%22.79%24.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.124.154.7326.67%24.24%24.10%21.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Dream (Visitante)

Previsão 77.16%1.30odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -2.20%
Kelly -10.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.45%77.14%77.21%80.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.181.241.241.2684.75%80.88%80.65%79.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 22.84%; Atlanta Dream (Visitante): 77.16%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.38. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.73, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.03%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯4.73I 21.14%NM 19.97%EV +8.03%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.173%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.03%EV -8.95%E -7.59%K -49.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 02:05
Fliff🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV +3.92%E +0.862%K +1.10%G +0.043%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.18%E -6.87%K -43.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 01:45
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.495%E +0.112%K +0.146%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 20:25
Pinnacle🎯4.39I 22.78%NM 22.02%EV +0.266%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.98%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 02:00
Bovada🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -0.647%E -0.149%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 02:03
Caesars🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.79%E -0.416%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.79%E -0.416%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.79%E -0.416%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 01:54
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.79%E -0.416%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 01:50
betano_uk🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-21 01:48
Bet Victor🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-21 01:49
Fanatics🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 21:10
BetAnything🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 21:09
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.09%E -4.14%K -22.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 01:14
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 02:04
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 02:00
DraftKings🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 02:00
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 20:19
MyBookie.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.09%E -4.14%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 00:49
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.09%E -4.14%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 00:49
Betr (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.09%E -4.14%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 01:14
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 01:14
SportsBet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.22%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 01:00
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 01:00
NordicBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -7.50%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 21:15
Betsson🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -7.50%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 21:15
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 00:30
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 21:09
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 00:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 02:00
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 01:59
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 01:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 01:55
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 01:55
Bally Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 01:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 01:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 01:55
betPARX🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 01:54
BetRivers🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 01:54
TABtouch🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 01:55
LeoVegas🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.21%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 02:04
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.21%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -7.41%E -6.17%K -37.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 01:09
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.35%E -3.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-20 20:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-08-21 01:49
Novig◎4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61%0.5%2026-08-21 02:05
Polymarket◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-08-21 02:05
Matchbook◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-08-21 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-08-21 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-08-21 02:05
ProphetX◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%2.0%2026-08-21 02:05
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%2.3%2026-08-21 02:05