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Los Angeles Sparks v Atlanta Dream
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Predicción 22.84%4.38momio equitativo
EV +8.03%
Ventaja +1.70%
Kelly +2.15%
Crecimiento +0.173%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.97%22.86%22.79%24.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.124.154.7326.67%24.24%24.10%21.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlanta Dream (Visitante)
Predicción 77.16%1.30momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -2.20%
Kelly -10.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.45%77.14%77.21%80.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.181.241.241.2684.75%80.88%80.65%79.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 22.84%; Atlanta Dream (Visitante): 77.16%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.38. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.73, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.03%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 4.73I 21.14%NM 19.97%EV +8.03%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.173% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.03%EV -8.95%E -7.59%K -49.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV +3.92%E +0.862%K +1.10%G +0.043% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.18%E -6.87%K -43.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 01:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.495%E +0.112%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 20:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.02%EV +0.266%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.98%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -0.647%E -0.149%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 02:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.79%E -0.416%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-20 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.79%E -0.416%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.79%E -0.416%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 01:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.79%E -0.416%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 01:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-21 01:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-21 01:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 21:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 21:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.93%E -0.690%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.09%E -4.14%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 01:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 20:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.09%E -4.14%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 00:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.09%E -4.14%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 00:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.09%E -4.14%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 01:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.07%E -0.970%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 01:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.22%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.36%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -7.50%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -7.50%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 21:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 00:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.32%E -3.48%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-20 21:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 00:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.64%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 01:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.78%E -2.20%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 01:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 01:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.78%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.55%E -2.84%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 01:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.21%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-21 02:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.21%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -7.41%E -6.17%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 01:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.35%E -3.83%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.86%E -4.81%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-20 20:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 01:49 |
| Novig◎ | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 2.0% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 2.3% | 2026-08-21 02:05 |