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Las Vegas Aces v Washington Mystics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prediction 65.96%1.52fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -4.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.42%66.00%65.80%67.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.441.441.4874.07%69.59%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Mystics (Visit)
Prediction 34.04%2.94fair odd
EV +0.422%
Edge +0.143%
Kelly +0.217%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.34%34.00%34.20%35.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.802.9538.46%35.53%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 65.96%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 34.04%. For Washington Mystics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.422%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.599%E -0.205%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.28%E -0.441%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 01:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.28%E -0.441%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.28%E -0.441%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.30%E -0.802%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 01:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.64%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.64%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.04%E -2.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 01:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.04%E -2.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 01:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 01:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.38%E -1.61%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.04%E -2.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -10.96%E -8.12%K -31.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 02:03 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.38%E -1.61%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.38%E -1.61%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.09%E -3.00%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.09%E -3.00%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.09%E -3.00%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.09%E -3.00%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -2.38%E -1.61%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -8.77%E -3.27%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -3.70%E -2.53%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV -9.11%E -3.41%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.81%E -4.13%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.34%E -4.46%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -11.49%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |