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Las Vegas Aces v Washington Mystics
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Predicción 65.96%1.52momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -4.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.42%66.00%65.80%67.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.441.441.4874.07%69.59%69.44%67.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Mystics (Visitante)
Predicción 34.04%2.94momio equitativo
EV +0.422%
Ventaja +0.143%
Kelly +0.217%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.34%34.00%34.20%35.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.812.802.9538.46%35.53%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 65.96%; Washington Mystics (Visitante): 34.04%. Para Washington Mystics (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.94. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.95, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.422%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.599%E -0.205%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.28%E -0.441%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 01:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.28%E -0.441%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.28%E -0.441%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.30%E -0.802%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 01:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.64%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.64%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.04%E -2.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 01:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.04%E -2.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 01:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 01:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.38%E -1.61%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.04%E -2.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -10.96%E -8.12%K -31.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 02:03 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.38%E -1.61%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.38%E -1.61%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.09%E -3.00%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.09%E -3.00%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.09%E -3.00%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.09%E -3.00%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -2.38%E -1.61%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -8.77%E -3.27%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -3.70%E -2.53%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV -9.11%E -3.41%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.81%E -4.13%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 01:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.34%E -4.46%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -11.49%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 02:04 |