Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Las Vegas Aces v Washington Mystics

Início: 2026-08-14 02:06 UTC

Final: Las Vegas Aces 83–76 Washington Mystics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Previsão 65.96%1.52odd justa
EV -2.38%
Vantagem -1.61%
Kelly -4.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.42%66.00%65.80%67.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.441.441.4874.07%69.59%69.44%67.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Mystics (Visitante)

Previsão 34.04%2.94odd justa
EV +0.422%
Vantagem +0.143%
Kelly +0.217%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.34%34.00%34.20%35.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.812.802.9538.46%35.53%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 65.96%; Washington Mystics (Visitante): 34.04%. Para Washington Mystics (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.94. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.95, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.422%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001%3.8%2026-08-14 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-14 02:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-14 02:04
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-14 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-14 02:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-14 02:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-14 02:04
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-14 02:04
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.422%E +0.143%K +0.217%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-14 02:05
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.599%E -0.205%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 21:44
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.28%E -0.441%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 01:19
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.28%E -0.441%K -0.673%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.28%E -0.441%K -0.673%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 02:04
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.30%E -0.802%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.64%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 02:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.64%E -0.924%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 02:04
betano_uk🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.04%E -2.07%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 01:50
Bet Victor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.04%E -2.07%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 01:49
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 02:04
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 01:59
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 01:44
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.00%E -4.96%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -2.98%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.38%E -1.61%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 02:05
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.04%E -2.07%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 01:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -10.96%E -8.12%K -31.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 02:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 02:03
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 01:59
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.38%E -1.61%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 01:59
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.38%E -1.61%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 01:59
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 01:59
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 01:59
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 18:24
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 01:59
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 01:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 18:24
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.39%E -2.32%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 02:05
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.36%E -3.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.09%E -3.00%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 02:04
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.09%E -3.00%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 01:59
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.09%E -3.00%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 01:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.09%E -3.00%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 02:04
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -2.38%E -1.61%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -8.77%E -3.27%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 02:04
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -3.70%E -2.53%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV -9.11%E -3.41%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 02:05
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.81%E -4.13%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 01:59
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.34%E -4.46%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -11.49%E -4.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 02:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-14 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-08-14 02:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-08-14 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-08-14 02:05
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-08-14 02:05
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-13 21:04
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-14 02:05
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-08-14 02:04