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Las Vegas Aces v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prediction 62.59%1.60fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.701%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.16%62.53%62.50%64.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.521.511.5867.57%65.84%66.23%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 37.41%2.67fair odd
EV -0.863%
Edge -0.326%
Kelly -0.523%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.99%37.47%37.50%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.552.572.6543.86%39.24%38.91%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 62.59%; New York Liberty (Visit): 37.41%. For New York Liberty (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.863%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -1.11%E -0.701%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.73%E -1.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.73%E -1.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-30 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-30 19:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-30 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -6.85%E -2.75%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 20:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 02:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-31 02:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -6.85%E -2.75%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 00:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.61%E -2.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.61%E -2.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.24%E -2.77%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.61%E -0.613%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.24%E -2.77%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 01:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -4.24%E -2.77%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -12.09%E -5.14%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.86%E -3.20%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 01:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.99%E -0.758%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-31 02:02 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.48%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.23%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -14.71%E -6.45%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-31 01:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 00:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.61%E -0.613%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 00:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-07-30 20:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-07-31 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-07-31 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
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