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Las Vegas Aces v New York Liberty
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Predicción 62.59%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.701%
Kelly -1.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.16%62.53%62.50%64.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.521.511.5867.57%65.84%66.23%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Liberty (Visitante)
Predicción 37.41%2.67momio equitativo
EV -0.863%
Ventaja -0.326%
Kelly -0.523%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.99%37.47%37.50%39.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.282.552.572.6543.86%39.24%38.91%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 62.59%; New York Liberty (Visitante): 37.41%. Para New York Liberty (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.67. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.65, con un valor esperado de -0.863%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -1.11%E -0.701%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.73%E -1.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.73%E -1.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-30 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-30 19:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-30 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -6.85%E -2.75%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 20:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 02:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-31 02:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -6.85%E -2.75%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 00:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.61%E -2.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.61%E -2.35%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.24%E -2.77%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.61%E -0.613%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.24%E -2.77%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 01:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -4.24%E -2.77%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -12.09%E -5.14%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.86%E -3.20%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 01:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.99%E -0.758%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-31 02:02 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.48%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.23%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -14.71%E -6.45%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-31 01:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 00:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 01:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.61%E -0.613%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 02:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 00:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-07-30 20:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-07-31 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-07-31 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 02:05 |