Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Las Vegas Aces v New York Liberty

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-31 02:05 UTC

Score final : Las Vegas Aces 104–99 New York Liberty

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Prévision 62.59%1.60cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.701%
Kelly -1.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.16%62.53%62.50%64.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.521.511.5867.57%65.84%66.23%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

New York Liberty (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.41%2.67cote équitable
EV -0.863%
Avantage -0.326%
Kelly -0.523%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.99%37.47%37.50%39.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.282.552.572.6543.86%39.24%38.91%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Las Vegas Aces (Local) : 62.59% ; New York Liberty (Visiteur) : 37.41%. Pour New York Liberty (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.67. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.65, pour une espérance de -0.863% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -1.11%E -0.701%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-31 02:04
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.73%E -1.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 02:05
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.73%E -1.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 02:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-30 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-30 19:30
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-30 19:30
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -6.85%E -2.75%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 20:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 02:05
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.36%E -1.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 02:00
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 02:03
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 02:04
DraftKings🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -6.85%E -2.75%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 00:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.99%E -1.93%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 02:04
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.61%E -2.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 01:59
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.61%E -2.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 18:54
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.24%E -2.77%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.61%E -0.613%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.24%E -2.77%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 01:05
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -4.24%E -2.77%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -12.09%E -5.14%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 02:04
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.86%E -3.20%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 01:45
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.99%E -0.758%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 02:02
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 02:04
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.48%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 02:05
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.23%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 00:50
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 02:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -5.49%E -3.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -14.71%E -6.45%K -11.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 02:04
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 01:39
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:50
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 01:40
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 01:40
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 02:00
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 00:50
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.47%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 02:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 02:05
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 02:05
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 02:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 02:05
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.863%E -0.326%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -6.74%E -4.52%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -1.61%E -0.613%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 02:04
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.37%E -4.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 00:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-31 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-31 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-31 02:05
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-30 20:15
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-31 02:00
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-31 02:00
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-07-31 02:05
ProphetX◎1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%5.2%2026-07-31 02:05