Language:English
Las Vegas Aces v Los Angeles Sparks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prediction 77.32%1.29fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -6.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.45%77.24%77.41%78.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.231.231.2786.96%81.44%81.30%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)
Prediction 22.68%4.41fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.459%
Kelly +0.590%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.19%22.76%22.59%24.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.224.254.5026.67%23.69%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 77.32%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 22.68%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 23:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 23:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 23:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 23:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.201%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 23:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.07%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.93%EV -0.655%E -0.150%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 23:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -1.34%E -0.307%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-23 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 23:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 23:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 23:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -2.92%E -0.683%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 22:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.15%E -0.738%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.15%E -0.738%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-23 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 23:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 23:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.68%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.32%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-23 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 22:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 23:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.14%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.14%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.81%E -1.42%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-23 23:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 22:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -11.08%E -9.64%K -73.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-23 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.94%E -3.99%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-05-23 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-05-23 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.43% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.57% | 0.9% | 2026-05-23 23:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-23 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-23 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-23 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-23 23:50 |