La escuela de los momios

Las Vegas Aces v Los Angeles Sparks

Inicio: 2026-05-24 00:00 UTC

Final: Las Vegas Aces 95–101 Los Angeles Sparks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Predicción 77.32%1.29momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -6.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.45%77.24%77.41%78.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.231.231.2786.96%81.44%81.30%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Predicción 22.68%4.41momio equitativo
EV +2.07%
Ventaja +0.459%
Kelly +0.590%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.19%22.76%22.59%24.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.224.254.5026.67%23.69%23.53%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:19
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:19
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:10
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:10
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:19
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:10
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:10
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:19
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:20
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.201%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 23:19
BetUS1.23I 81.30%NM 78.07%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.93%EV -0.655%E -0.150%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 23:49
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -1.34%E -0.307%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 23:29
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 22:39
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 23:48
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 23:39
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:19
Caesars1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -2.92%E -0.683%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 22:38
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.15%E -0.738%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 22:39
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.15%E -0.738%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 22:39
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 23:10
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 22:39
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 22:39
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 23:39
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 23:39
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 22:39
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.68%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.32%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 23:39
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 23:40
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 22:49
MyBookie.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 23:48
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 22:49
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.14%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 22:39
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.14%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 22:39
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.81%E -1.42%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 23:49
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 22:39
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 22:39
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 22:39
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 22:39
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 23:09
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 22:49
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -11.08%E -9.64%K -73.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-23 23:10
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 23:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.94%E -3.99%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 22:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-05-23 22:50
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-05-23 23:40
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 77.43%4.39I 22.78%NM 22.57%0.9%2026-05-23 23:50
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-23 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-23 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-23 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-23 23:50