A Escola das Odds

Las Vegas Aces v Los Angeles Sparks

Início: 2026-05-24 00:00 UTC

Final: Las Vegas Aces 95–101 Los Angeles Sparks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Previsão 77.32%1.29odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -1.42%
Kelly -6.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.45%77.24%77.41%78.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.151.231.231.2786.96%81.44%81.30%78.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Previsão 22.68%4.41odd justa
EV +2.07%
Vantagem +0.459%
Kelly +0.590%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.19%22.76%22.59%24.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.224.254.5026.67%23.69%23.53%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:19
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:19
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:10
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:10
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:19
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:10
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:10
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:19
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +2.07%E +0.459%K +0.590%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-23 23:20
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.201%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 23:19
BetUS1.23I 81.30%NM 78.07%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.93%EV -0.655%E -0.150%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 23:49
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -1.34%E -0.307%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 23:29
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 22:39
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 23:48
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 23:39
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -2.47%E -0.574%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:19
Caesars1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -2.92%E -0.683%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 22:38
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.15%E -0.738%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 22:39
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.15%E -0.738%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 22:39
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 23:10
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 22:39
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 22:39
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 22:39
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.60%E -0.848%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 23:39
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.74%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 23:39
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.87%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 22:39
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.68%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.32%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 23:39
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 23:40
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 22:49
MyBookie.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 23:48
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 22:49
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.14%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 22:39
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.14%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 22:39
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.81%E -1.42%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 23:49
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 22:39
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 22:39
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 22:39
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.35%E -2.68%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 22:39
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.13%E -3.33%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 23:09
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.90%E -3.98%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 22:49
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -11.08%E -9.64%K -73.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-23 23:10
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.44%E -5.33%K -30.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 23:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.67%E -4.65%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.94%E -3.99%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 22:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-05-23 22:50
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-05-23 23:40
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 77.43%4.39I 22.78%NM 22.57%0.9%2026-05-23 23:50
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-23 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-23 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-23 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-23 23:50