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Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prediction 66.00%1.52fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.670%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%65.96%65.99%67.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.5073.53%69.46%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Indiana Fever (Visit)
Prediction 34.00%2.94fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.670%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.58%34.04%34.01%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.802.803.0039.22%35.72%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 66.00%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 34.00%. For Indiana Fever (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +2.01%E +0.670%K +1.01%G +0.020% | 2.3% | 2026-07-13 00:52 |
| betano_uk | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +2.01%E +0.670%K +1.01%G +0.020% | 2.3% | 2026-07-13 00:52 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| betPARX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.75%E -0.962%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.62%E -3.93%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.75%E -0.962%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Caesars | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-13 00:58 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.94%E -4.93%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.33%E -1.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.98%E -2.03%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| BetUS | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.47%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:58 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.33%E -1.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Neds | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -10.24%E -7.53%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| ReBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -3.64%E -2.50%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -7.17%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -7.17%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -1.67%E -1.12%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -7.85%E -2.90%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.01%E -0.670%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-13 00:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.91%E -4.16%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Fliff | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.33%E -1.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -13.29%E -5.21%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Novig | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |