La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Predicción 66.00%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.670%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.73%65.96%65.99%67.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.441.441.5073.53%69.46%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Indiana Fever (Visitante)
Predicción 34.00%2.94momio equitativo
EV +2.01%
Ventaja +0.670%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.58%34.04%34.01%36.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.802.803.0039.22%35.72%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +2.01%E +0.670%K +1.01%G +0.020% | 2.3% | 2026-07-13 00:52 |
| betano_uk | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +2.01%E +0.670%K +1.01%G +0.020% | 2.3% | 2026-07-13 00:52 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| betPARX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.75%E -0.962%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.62%E -3.93%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.75%E -0.962%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Caesars | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-13 00:58 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.94%E -4.93%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.33%E -1.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.98%E -2.03%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| BetUS | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.47%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 00:58 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.33%E -1.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Neds | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -10.24%E -7.53%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| ReBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -3.64%E -2.50%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -7.17%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -7.17%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -1.67%E -1.12%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -7.85%E -2.90%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.01%E -0.670%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-13 00:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.91%E -4.16%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Fliff | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.33%E -1.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -13.29%E -5.21%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Novig | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-07-13 00:59 |