L’École des cotes

Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-13 01:02 UTC

Score final : Las Vegas Aces 75–109 Indiana Fever

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Prévision 66.00%1.52cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.670%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.73%65.96%65.99%67.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.441.441.5073.53%69.46%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Indiana Fever (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.00%2.94cote équitable
EV +2.01%
Avantage +0.670%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.58%34.04%34.01%36.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.802.803.0039.22%35.72%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +2.01%E +0.670%K +1.01%G +0.020%2.3%2026-07-13 00:52
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +2.01%E +0.670%K +1.01%G +0.020%2.3%2026-07-13 00:52
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 00:59
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 00:59
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 00:59
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 00:59
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 00:59
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 00:59
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 00:59
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 00:59
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.39%E -0.479%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 00:59
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.75%E -0.962%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-13 00:59
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.62%E -3.93%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.75%E -0.962%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 00:59
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-13 00:59
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-13 00:58
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-13 00:59
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-13 00:59
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.94%E -4.93%K -16.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.09%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 00:59
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.33%E -1.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-13 00:59
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.98%E -2.03%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-13 00:59
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 00:59
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 00:59
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 00:59
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 00:59
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 00:59
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.47%E -1.97%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 00:58
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.33%E -1.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-13 00:59
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-13 00:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-13 00:59
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-13 00:59
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-13 00:59
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-13 00:59
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-13 00:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-13 00:59
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 00:59
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -10.24%E -7.53%K -28.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-13 00:59
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -3.64%E -2.50%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -7.17%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-13 00:59
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -7.17%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 00:59
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -1.67%E -1.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -7.85%E -2.90%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-13 00:59
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.01%E -0.670%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-13 00:58
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.30%E -2.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 00:59
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-13 00:59
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-13 00:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.91%E -4.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-13 00:59
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.33%E -1.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 00:59
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.28%E -4.43%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -13.29%E -5.21%K -8.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-13 00:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-07-13 00:59
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-07-13 00:59
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-13 00:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-07-13 00:59
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-07-13 00:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-07-13 00:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-07-13 00:59
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-07-13 00:59