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Las Vegas Aces v Golden State Valkyries
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prediction 58.10%1.72fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.07%58.17%58.18%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.631.631.6966.23%61.32%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Golden State Valkyries (Visit)
Prediction 41.90%2.39fair odd
EV +0.561%
Edge +0.234%
Kelly +0.401%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%41.83%41.82%42.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.282.302.4046.73%43.83%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 58.10%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 41.90%. For Golden State Valkyries (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.561%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.561%E +0.234%K +0.401%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-06-06 18:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.47%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-06 18:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.47%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.47%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.81%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-06 18:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.14%E -2.74%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.98%E -3.14%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.66%E -3.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.66%E -3.97%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -12.27%E -8.13%K -24.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -10.33%E -4.83%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-06-06 19:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80% | 3.0% | 2026-06-06 18:59 |