A Escola das Odds

Las Vegas Aces v Golden State Valkyries

Início: 2026-06-06 19:02 UTC

Final: Las Vegas Aces 84–79 Golden State Valkyries

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Previsão 58.10%1.72odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -2.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.07%58.17%58.18%59.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.511.631.631.6966.23%61.32%61.35%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Previsão 41.90%2.39odd justa
EV +0.561%
Vantagem +0.234%
Kelly +0.401%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.15%41.83%41.82%42.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.142.282.302.4046.73%43.83%43.48%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.561%E +0.234%K +0.401%G +0.002%3.8%2026-06-06 18:58
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 18:59
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 18:59
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 18:59
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:59
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:59
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 18:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 18:59
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 18:59
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 19:00
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 18:59
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 18:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 18:59
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 19:00
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.47%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 18:58
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.47%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 18:59
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.47%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 18:59
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 18:59
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.81%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-06 18:58
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 18:59
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 18:59
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.14%E -2.74%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 18:59
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.98%E -3.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 18:59
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 18:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 18:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 18:59
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.66%E -3.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 18:59
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.66%E -3.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 18:59
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -12.27%E -8.13%K -24.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -10.33%E -4.83%K -9.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-06 18:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-06 18:59
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-06-06 19:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-06 18:59
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-06-06 18:59
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%3.0%2026-06-06 18:59