La escuela de los momios

Las Vegas Aces v Golden State Valkyries

Inicio: 2026-06-06 19:02 UTC

Final: Las Vegas Aces 84–79 Golden State Valkyries

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Predicción 58.10%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.07%58.17%58.18%59.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.631.631.6966.23%61.32%61.35%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Predicción 41.90%2.39momio equitativo
EV +0.561%
Ventaja +0.234%
Kelly +0.401%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.15%41.83%41.82%42.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.142.282.302.4046.73%43.83%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.561%E +0.234%K +0.401%G +0.002%3.8%2026-06-06 18:58
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 18:59
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 18:59
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 18:59
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:59
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.53%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:59
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 18:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 18:59
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 18:59
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 19:00
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 18:59
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 18:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 18:59
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 19:00
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.47%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 18:58
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.47%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 18:59
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.47%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 18:59
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 18:59
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.81%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-06 18:58
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 18:59
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 18:59
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.14%E -2.74%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 18:59
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.98%E -3.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 18:59
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 18:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 18:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 18:59
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.66%E -3.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 18:59
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.66%E -3.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 18:59
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -12.27%E -8.13%K -24.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -10.33%E -4.83%K -9.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-06 18:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-06 18:59
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-06-06 18:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-06-06 19:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-06 18:59
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-06-06 18:59
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%3.0%2026-06-06 18:59