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Las Vegas Aces v Connecticut Sun

2026-08-21 02:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Prediction 86.23%1.16fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -28.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.33%86.25%86.31%90.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.101.101.1294.34%90.62%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Connecticut Sun (Visit)

Prediction 13.77%7.26fair odd
EV +37.01%
Edge +3.72%
Kelly +4.14%
Growth +1.53%

assuming max odds 9.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.63%13.75%13.69%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.786.509.9518.18%14.75%15.38%10.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 86.23%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 13.77%. For Connecticut Sun (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.26. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.95, producing a positive expected value of +37.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -8.60%E -8.11%K -143.27%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV +37.01%E +3.72%K +4.14%G +1.53%4.4%2026-08-19 02:14
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -6.01%E -5.51%K -66.77%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV +4.65%E +0.612%K +0.705%G +0.033%4.9%2026-08-19 04:24
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -4.28%E -3.86%K -38.95%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.82%EV +3.96%E +0.525%K +0.605%G +0.024%3.3%2026-08-19 02:59
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.27%E +0.436%K +0.504%G +0.016%4.2%2026-08-19 02:55
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.27%E +0.436%K +0.504%G +0.016%4.2%2026-08-19 02:52
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +0.519%E +0.071%K +0.082%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 05:49
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.28%E -3.86%K -38.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 02:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.28%E -3.86%K -38.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 02:34
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.28%E -3.86%K -38.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 04:44
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 02:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 02:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 02:10
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 02:54
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.87%E -6.36%K -85.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 02:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.05%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 02:29
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -9.12%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 02:14
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.50%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 05:49
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.50%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 02:29
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.50%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 02:29
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.50%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 02:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 03:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 03:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 03:34
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 03:34
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 03:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 03:34
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 03:33
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 03:34
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.28%E -3.86%K -38.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 03:34
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.28%E -3.86%K -38.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 03:34
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -13.25%E -2.10%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 02:29
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.38%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 05:48
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -7.73%E -7.23%K -110.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -17.38%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-19 03:34
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -24.27%E -4.41%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 03:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-08-19 07:30
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-08-19 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-19 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-19 03:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-19 03:49
Arbitrage (8 combinations) +0.67%Unibet (SE) 1.12 (89.9%) / 1xBet 9.95 (10.1%)Show all 8 combinations
Las Vegas Aces (Local)Connecticut Sun (Visit)Margin
Unibet (SE)🎯 1.12 (89.9%)1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%)+0.668%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.12 (89.9%)1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%)+0.668%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.12 (89.9%)1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%)+0.668%
Unibet🎯 1.12 (89.9%)1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%)+0.668%
betPARX🎯 1.12 (89.9%)1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%)+0.668%
Svenska Spel🎯 1.12 (89.9%)1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%)+0.668%
Bally Bet🎯 1.12 (89.9%)1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%)+0.668%
ATG (SE)🎯 1.12 (89.9%)1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%)+0.668%

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