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Las Vegas Aces v Connecticut Sun
Resultado del partido
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Predicción 86.23%1.16momio equitativo
EV -3.42%
Ventaja -3.06%
Kelly -28.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.33%86.25%86.31%90.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.061.101.101.1294.34%90.62%90.91%89.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Connecticut Sun (Visitante)
Predicción 13.77%7.26momio equitativo
EV +37.01%
Ventaja +3.72%
Kelly +4.14%
Crecimiento +1.53%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.63%13.75%13.69%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.796.509.9518.18%14.73%15.38%10.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 86.23%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 13.77%. Para Connecticut Sun (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 7.26. 6 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 9.95, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +37.01%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (34 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -8.60%E -8.11%K -143.27%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV +37.01%E +3.72%K +4.14%G +1.53% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 02:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -6.01%E -5.51%K -66.77%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +7.40%E +0.949%K +1.09%G +0.081% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 08:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -4.28%E -3.86%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.82%EV +3.96%E +0.525%K +0.605%G +0.024% | 3.3% | 2026-08-19 02:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.27%E +0.436%K +0.504%G +0.016% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 02:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.27%E +0.436%K +0.504%G +0.016% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 02:52 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +0.519%E +0.071%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 05:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.28%E -3.86%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.28%E -3.86%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 02:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.28%E -3.86%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-19 04:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 02:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 02:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 02:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 02:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.87%E -6.36%K -85.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.61%E -0.516%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.05%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -9.12%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 02:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.50%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 05:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.50%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.50%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.50%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 03:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 03:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 03:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 03:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 03:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 03:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 03:33 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.42%E -3.06%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 03:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.28%E -3.86%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 03:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.28%E -3.86%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -11.87%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 03:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -13.25%E -2.10%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.38%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 05:48 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -7.73%E -7.23%K -110.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -17.38%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-19 03:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -5.15%E -4.68%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -24.27%E -4.41%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 07:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77% | 1.7% | 2026-08-19 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-08-19 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-08-19 03:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-08-19 03:49 |
Arbitraje (8 combinaciones) +0.67%Unibet (SE) 1.12 (89.9%) / 1xBet 9.95 (10.1%)Ver las 8 combinaciones
| Las Vegas Aces (Local) | Connecticut Sun (Visitante) | Margen |
|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 1.12 (89.9%) | 1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%) | +0.668% |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.12 (89.9%) | 1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%) | +0.668% |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 1.12 (89.9%) | 1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%) | +0.668% |
| Unibet🎯 1.12 (89.9%) | 1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%) | +0.668% |
| betPARX🎯 1.12 (89.9%) | 1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%) | +0.668% |
| Svenska Spel🎯 1.12 (89.9%) | 1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%) | +0.668% |
| Bally Bet🎯 1.12 (89.9%) | 1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%) | +0.668% |
| ATG (SE)🎯 1.12 (89.9%) | 1xBet🎯 9.95 (10.1%) | +0.668% |
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