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Las Vegas Aces v Connecticut Sun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Predicción 88.78%1.13momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -23.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.75%88.65%88.82%90.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.051.081.081.1095.24%92.83%92.59%90.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Connecticut Sun (Visitante)
Predicción 11.22%8.91momio equitativo
EV +7.14%
Ventaja +0.747%
Kelly +0.835%
Crecimiento +0.060%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.99%11.35%11.18%14.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.508.178.009.5515.38%12.25%12.50%10.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 88.78%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 11.22%. Para Connecticut Sun (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.91. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.14%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.01%EV -5.89%E -5.56%K -98.20%G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 9.99%EV +7.14%E +0.747%K +0.835%G +0.060% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 01:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +3.77%E +0.408%K +0.457%G +0.017% | 3.4% | 2026-08-21 01:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +3.77%E +0.408%K +0.457%G +0.017% | 3.4% | 2026-08-21 01:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +3.77%E +0.408%K +0.457%G +0.017% | 4.3% | 2026-08-21 01:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.34%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.66%EV +1.53%E +0.169%K +0.190%G +0.003% | 3.6% | 2026-08-20 21:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +0.967%E +0.107%K +0.121%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-08-20 19:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.967%E +0.107%K +0.121%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.967%E +0.107%K +0.121%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 17:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.967%E +0.107%K +0.121%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 19:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.89%E -5.56%K -98.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +0.967%E +0.107%K +0.121%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.18%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.82%EV +0.743%E +0.083%K +0.093%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV +0.407%E +0.045%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 01:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV +0.407%E +0.045%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 01:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -1.84%E -0.210%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-20 19:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -1.84%E -0.210%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-20 19:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -4.64%E -0.546%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 01:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.89%E -5.56%K -98.20%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.64%E -0.546%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 01:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.89%E -5.56%K -98.20%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.64%E -0.546%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 01:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.89%E -5.56%K -98.20%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.64%E -0.546%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 01:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -6.89%E -0.830%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-20 12:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -6.89%E -0.830%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 01:33 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -6.89%E -0.830%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 01:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -9.13%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-20 21:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.25%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-20 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.25%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 01:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.25%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-20 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.25%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 01:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.25%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 01:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.25%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.25%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 01:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -2.34%E -2.13%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -13.62%E -1.77%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-20 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 01:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 00:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 00:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 00:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 00:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 19:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 19:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 01:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -6.78%E -6.46%K -135.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -21.47%E -3.07%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -6.78%E -6.46%K -135.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -21.47%E -3.07%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -27.08%E -4.17%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 01:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.6% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.6% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.7% | 2026-08-21 02:00 |