Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Las Vegas Aces v Connecticut Sun

Início: 2026-08-21 02:04 UTC

Final: Las Vegas Aces 101–78 Connecticut Sun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Previsão 88.78%1.13odd justa
EV -2.34%
Vantagem -2.13%
Kelly -23.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
85.75%88.65%88.82%90.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.051.081.081.1095.24%92.83%92.59%90.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Previsão 11.22%8.91odd justa
EV +7.14%
Vantagem +0.747%
Kelly +0.835%
Crescimento +0.060%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.99%11.35%11.18%14.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.508.178.009.5515.38%12.25%12.50%10.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 88.78%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 11.22%. Para Connecticut Sun (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.91. 13 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.14%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.01%EV -5.89%E -5.56%K -98.20%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 9.99%EV +7.14%E +0.747%K +0.835%G +0.060%4.8%2026-08-21 01:59
betano_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +3.77%E +0.408%K +0.457%G +0.017%3.4%2026-08-21 01:48
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +3.77%E +0.408%K +0.457%G +0.017%3.4%2026-08-21 01:49
BetAnything🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +3.77%E +0.408%K +0.457%G +0.017%4.3%2026-08-21 01:55
GTbets🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.34%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%9.05I 11.05%NM 10.66%EV +1.53%E +0.169%K +0.190%G +0.003%3.6%2026-08-20 21:40
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +0.967%E +0.107%K +0.121%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-20 19:54
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.967%E +0.107%K +0.121%G +0.001%4.6%2026-08-20 21:40
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.967%E +0.107%K +0.121%G +0.001%4.6%2026-08-20 17:14
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.967%E +0.107%K +0.121%G +0.001%4.6%2026-08-20 19:48
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.89%E -5.56%K -98.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +0.967%E +0.107%K +0.121%G +0.001%5.5%2026-08-20 20:04
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.18%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000%8.98I 11.14%NM 10.82%EV +0.743%E +0.083%K +0.093%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-21 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV +0.407%E +0.045%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 01:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV +0.407%E +0.045%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 01:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -1.84%E -0.210%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 19:49
Neds🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -1.84%E -0.210%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 19:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -4.64%E -0.546%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 01:29
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.89%E -5.56%K -98.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.64%E -0.546%K -0.619%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 01:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.89%E -5.56%K -98.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.64%E -0.546%K -0.619%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 01:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.89%E -5.56%K -98.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.64%E -0.546%K -0.619%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 01:30
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -6.89%E -0.830%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 12:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -6.89%E -0.830%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 01:33
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -6.89%E -0.830%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 01:29
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -9.13%E -1.13%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 21:35
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.25%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 21:25
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.25%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.25%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 21:25
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.25%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 01:28
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.25%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 01:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.25%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 02:00
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.25%E -1.28%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 01:59
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -2.34%E -2.13%K -23.40%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -13.62%E -1.77%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 22:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 00:35
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 01:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 00:35
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 00:34
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 00:35
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 01:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 00:35
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.23%E -2.96%K -35.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 00:35
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:59
Coolbet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 19:49
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 19:59
BoyleSports🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.00%E -4.68%K -71.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -15.86%E -2.11%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 01:29
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -6.78%E -6.46%K -135.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -21.47%E -3.07%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 02:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -6.78%E -6.46%K -135.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -21.47%E -3.07%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 00:35
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.12%E -3.81%K -51.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -27.08%E -4.17%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 01:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-08-21 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-21 02:00
ProphetX◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-21 02:00
Matchbook◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-08-21 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-08-21 02:00
Kalshi◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-08-21 02:00
Novig◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-08-21 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-08-21 02:00