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Indiana Fever v Washington Mystics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Indiana Fever (Local)
Prediction 77.22%1.30fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -4.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.55%77.47%76.64%80.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.231.241.2887.72%81.32%80.65%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Mystics (Visit)
Prediction 22.78%4.39fair odd
EV +9.35%
Edge +1.95%
Kelly +2.46%
Growth +0.230%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.73%22.53%23.36%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.234.074.8026.67%23.65%24.54%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 77.22%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 22.78%. For Washington Mystics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -5.79%E -4.75%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +9.35%E +1.95%K +2.46%G +0.230% | 2.8% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.88%E -7.53%K -49.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +9.35%E +1.95%K +2.46%G +0.230% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.718%G +0.018% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.718%G +0.018% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.25%E -3.43%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.04%E -0.475%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 21:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.56%E -5.43%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -2.04%E -0.475%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.02%E -4.08%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-15 17:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-15 20:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.24%EV -11.97%E -10.50%K -85.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-15 22:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -7.74%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -7.74%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 18:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.19%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.19%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.93%E -1.52%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 23:23 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-15 23:11 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 23:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 23:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.25%E -3.43%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.25%E -3.43%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -1.93%E -1.52%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -10.70%E -2.73%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.25%E -3.43%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -13.43%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -1.16%E -0.906%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -1.16%E -0.906%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-05-15 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-05-15 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35% | 2.7% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.19% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.81% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |