Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Indiana Fever v Washington Mystics

Início: 2026-05-15 23:40 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 102–104 Washington Mystics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Indiana Fever (Local)

Previsão 77.22%1.30odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.906%
Kelly -4.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.55%77.47%76.64%80.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.141.231.241.2887.72%81.32%80.65%78.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Mystics (Visitante)

Previsão 22.78%4.39odd justa
EV +9.35%
Vantagem +1.95%
Kelly +2.46%
Crescimento +0.230%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.73%22.53%23.36%25.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.234.074.8026.67%23.65%24.54%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Indiana Fever (Local): 77.22%; Washington Mystics (Visitante): 22.78%. Para Washington Mystics (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.39. 16 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.35%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -5.79%E -4.75%K -26.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +9.35%E +1.95%K +2.46%G +0.230%2.8%2026-05-15 23:29
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.88%E -7.53%K -49.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +9.35%E +1.95%K +2.46%G +0.230%5.6%2026-05-15 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 23:30
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:25
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.718%G +0.018%5.6%2026-05-15 23:30
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.718%G +0.018%5.6%2026-05-15 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.25%E -3.43%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.04%E -0.475%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 21:54
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.56%E -5.43%K -31.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -2.04%E -0.475%K -0.619%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.02%E -4.08%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:20
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 20:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.24%EV -11.97%E -10.50%K -85.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 22:24
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -7.74%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 23:25
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -7.74%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.19%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.19%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 18:40
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.93%E -1.52%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 23:23
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 23:11
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 16:20
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:25
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 16:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:24
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 23:30
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 23:24
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.25%E -3.43%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 23:25
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.25%E -3.43%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 23:25
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -1.93%E -1.52%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -10.70%E -2.73%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.25%E -3.43%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 18:15
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -13.43%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -1.16%E -0.906%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:25
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -1.16%E -0.906%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-15 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-15 23:00
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-05-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-05-15 23:30
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%2.7%2026-05-15 23:30
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 78.19%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.81%4.0%2026-05-15 23:30