La escuela de los momios

Indiana Fever v Washington Mystics

Inicio: 2026-05-15 23:40 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 102–104 Washington Mystics

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Predicción 77.22%1.30momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.906%
Kelly -4.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.55%77.47%76.64%80.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.231.241.2887.72%81.32%80.65%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Mystics (Visitante)

Predicción 22.78%4.39momio equitativo
EV +9.35%
Ventaja +1.95%
Kelly +2.46%
Crecimiento +0.230%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.73%22.53%23.36%25.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.234.074.8026.67%23.65%24.54%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -5.79%E -4.75%K -26.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +9.35%E +1.95%K +2.46%G +0.230%2.8%2026-05-15 23:29
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.88%E -7.53%K -49.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +9.35%E +1.95%K +2.46%G +0.230%5.6%2026-05-15 23:30
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 23:30
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:25
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:25
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%5.1%2026-05-15 22:24
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.718%G +0.018%5.6%2026-05-15 23:30
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.718%G +0.018%5.6%2026-05-15 23:30
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.25%E -3.43%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.04%E -0.475%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 21:54
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.56%E -5.43%K -31.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -2.04%E -0.475%K -0.619%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 23:30
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.02%E -4.08%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:20
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 17:20
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 20:44
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 78.24%EV -11.97%E -10.50%K -85.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 22:24
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -7.74%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 23:25
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -7.74%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 18:24
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.19%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 18:40
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -8.19%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 18:40
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.93%E -1.52%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 23:23
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 23:11
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 16:20
ReBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:25
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 18:15
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 16:20
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 16:20
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.48%E -2.78%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:24
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.34%E -6.11%K -36.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 23:30
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 23:24
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.25%E -3.43%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 23:25
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.25%E -3.43%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 23:25
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -1.93%E -1.52%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -10.70%E -2.73%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 18:10
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.25%E -3.43%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 18:15
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -2.70%E -2.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -13.43%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -1.16%E -0.906%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:25
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -1.16%E -0.906%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-15 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-05-15 23:00
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-05-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-05-15 23:30
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%2.7%2026-05-15 23:30
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 78.19%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.81%4.0%2026-05-15 23:30