Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.19
assuming max odds 6.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 83.70%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 16.30%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.14. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.02%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.55%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +10.02%E +1.48%K +1.74%G +0.175% | 2.5% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.09%E -6.39%K -64.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.95%E +0.915%K +1.08%G +0.064% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.87%E +0.299%K +0.356%G +0.007% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.94%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 16.06%EV -2.04%E -0.340%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 21:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 22:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 22:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.42%E -4.80%K -41.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.20%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 15.80%EV -2.69%E -0.451%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -3.83%E -0.650%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -3.83%E -0.650%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 22:02 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.42%E -4.80%K -41.68%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -3.83%E -0.650%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.66%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.34%EV -4.00%E -0.679%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -4.65%E -0.795%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -4.65%E -0.795%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.42%E -4.80%K -41.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.28%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -7.93%E -7.21%K -79.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 21:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 22:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 21:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 21:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 22:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 21:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -13.61%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.07%E -1.77%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -14.43%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -15.24%E -2.93%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -2.91%E -2.51%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 22:03 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 21:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -0.396%E -0.333%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -21.76%E -4.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -0.396%E -0.333%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -21.76%E -4.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.49%EV -8.77%E -8.04%K -97.40%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -21.76%E -4.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.23% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.77% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71% | 1.8% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.52% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 82.66% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34% | 13.1% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 82.66% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34% | 13.1% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 59.25% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 40.75% | 56.3% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |