L’École des cotes

Indiana Fever v Seattle Storm

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 22:15 UTC

Score final : Indiana Fever 89–78 Seattle Storm

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Prévision 83.70%1.19cote équitable
EV -0.396%
Avantage -0.333%
Kelly -2.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.13%83.52%83.81%85.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.141.151.1991.74%87.59%86.96%84.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Storm (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.30%6.14cote équitable
EV +10.02%
Avantage +1.48%
Kelly +1.74%
Croissance +0.175%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.45%16.48%16.19%19.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.635.606.7520.83%17.78%17.86%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 85.55%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +10.02%E +1.48%K +1.74%G +0.175%2.5%2026-05-17 22:10
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.09%E -6.39%K -64.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.95%E +0.915%K +1.08%G +0.064%5.5%2026-05-17 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.87%E +0.299%K +0.356%G +0.007%5.3%2026-05-17 22:10
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 83.94%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 16.06%EV -2.04%E -0.340%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 21:59
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 22:09
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 22:09
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.42%E -4.80%K -41.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 22:10
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:10
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 84.20%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.80%EV -2.69%E -0.451%K -0.542%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:10
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -3.83%E -0.650%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 22:10
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -3.83%E -0.650%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 22:02
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.42%E -4.80%K -41.68%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -3.83%E -0.650%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 22:10
BetAnything1.15I 86.96%NM 83.66%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.34%EV -4.00%E -0.679%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 22:09
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -4.65%E -0.795%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 22:04
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -4.65%E -0.795%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 22:10
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.42%E -4.80%K -41.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.28%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -7.93%E -7.21%K -79.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 21:59
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 22:09
ReBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 21:59
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 21:59
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 21:59
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 21:59
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 21:59
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 22:10
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -13.61%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 22:10
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.07%E -1.77%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -14.43%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 22:10
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -15.24%E -2.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 22:10
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -2.91%E -2.51%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 22:03
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 22:10
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:59
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -0.396%E -0.333%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -21.76%E -4.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -0.396%E -0.333%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -21.76%E -4.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 22:10
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 81.49%EV -8.77%E -8.04%K -97.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -21.76%E -4.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 22:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.23%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.77%1.5%2026-05-17 22:10
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%2.2%2026-05-17 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 82.52%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%12.2%2026-05-17 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 82.66%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%13.1%2026-05-17 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 82.66%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%13.1%2026-05-17 22:10
ProphetX1.08I 92.59%NM 59.25%1.57I 63.69%NM 40.75%56.3%2026-05-17 22:10