默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Indiana Fever v Seattle Storm

开赛时间: 2026-05-17 22:15 UTC

最终结果: Indiana Fever 89–78 Seattle Storm

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Indiana Fever (主队)

预测 83.70%1.19公平赔率
EV -0.396%
优势 -0.333%
Kelly -2.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.19

博彩公司预测分布
80.13%83.52%83.81%85.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.091.141.151.1991.74%87.59%86.96%84.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

Seattle Storm (客队)

预测 16.30%6.14公平赔率
EV +10.02%
优势 +1.48%
Kelly +1.74%
增长率 +0.175%

假设最高赔率为 6.75

博彩公司预测分布
14.45%16.48%16.19%19.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.635.606.7520.83%17.78%17.86%14.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Indiana Fever (主队):83.70%;Seattle Storm (客队):16.30%。 对于“Seattle Storm (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.14。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.75,对应+10.02%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.55%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +10.02%E +1.48%K +1.74%G +0.175%2.5%2026-05-17 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.09%E -6.39%K -64.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.95%E +0.915%K +1.08%G +0.064%5.5%2026-05-17 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.87%E +0.299%K +0.356%G +0.007%5.3%2026-05-17 22:10
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.94%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 16.06%EV -2.04%E -0.340%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 21:59
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 22:09
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 22:09
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.42%E -4.80%K -41.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 22:10
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.441%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:10
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.20%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.80%EV -2.69%E -0.451%K -0.542%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:10
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -3.83%E -0.650%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 22:10
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -3.83%E -0.650%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 22:02
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.42%E -4.80%K -41.68%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -3.83%E -0.650%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 22:10
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.66%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.34%EV -4.00%E -0.679%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 22:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -4.65%E -0.795%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 22:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -4.65%E -0.795%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.42%E -4.80%K -41.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.28%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
LeoVegas🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -7.93%E -7.21%K -79.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -8.72%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 21:59
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 22:09
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 21:59
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 21:59
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 21:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 22:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 21:59
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -13.61%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 22:10
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.07%E -1.77%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -14.43%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 22:10
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -15.24%E -2.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 22:10
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -2.91%E -2.51%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 22:03
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.74%E -3.26%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:59
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -0.396%E -0.333%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -21.76%E -4.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -0.396%E -0.333%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -21.76%E -4.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 22:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.49%EV -8.77%E -8.04%K -97.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -21.76%E -4.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 22:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.23%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.77%1.5%2026-05-17 22:10
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-05-17 22:10
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%2.2%2026-05-17 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 82.52%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%12.2%2026-05-17 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 82.66%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%13.1%2026-05-17 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 82.66%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%13.1%2026-05-17 22:10
ProphetX1.08I 92.59%NM 59.25%1.57I 63.69%NM 40.75%56.3%2026-05-17 22:10