A Escola das Odds

Indiana Fever v Phoenix Mercury

Início: 2026-06-24 23:33 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 109–111 Phoenix Mercury

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Previsão 76.83%1.30odd justa
EV -1.66%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -5.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.22%76.77%76.64%78.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.251.251.2883.33%80.20%80.00%78.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)

Previsão 23.17%4.32odd justa
EV +0.800%
Vantagem +0.184%
Kelly +0.239%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.76%23.23%23.36%26.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.024.004.3528.57%24.86%25.00%22.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -7.04%E -5.82%K -33.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +0.800%E +0.184%K +0.239%G +0.002%5.6%2026-06-24 23:29
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +0.336%E +0.078%K +0.101%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-24 23:29
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.359%E -0.084%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.359%E -0.084%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 23:30
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.11%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.89%EV -2.44%E -0.581%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 23:30
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.68%E -0.637%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 23:30
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.68%E -0.637%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 23:29
Caesars1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.68%E -0.637%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 23:28
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.68%E -0.637%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 23:30
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.68%E -0.637%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 23:30
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.68%E -0.637%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 23:29
ReBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.83%E -0.924%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 23:29
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.83%E -0.924%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 23:27
BetAnything1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 23:29
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-24 23:30
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-24 23:30
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-24 23:30
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-24 23:29
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:29
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:29
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:29
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:29
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 23:29
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 23:30
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.81%E -6.51%K -39.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 23:30
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -7.77%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 23:28
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.47%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 23:29
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:30
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:29
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:30
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:30
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:30
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:30
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:30
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:30
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:30
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:30
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 23:29
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.95%E -3.14%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 23:18
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -7.04%E -5.82%K -33.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -14.26%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-24 23:29
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -1.66%E -1.30%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -18.90%E -5.40%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-24 23:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-06-24 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-24 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-24 23:30
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-24 23:30
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-06-24 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-06-24 23:30
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.90%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.10%1.6%2026-06-24 23:30
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-06-24 23:30