La escuela de los momiosIndiana Fever v Phoenix Mercury
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Indiana Fever (Local)
Predicción 76.83%1.30momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -5.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.22%76.77%76.64%78.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.251.251.2883.33%80.20%80.00%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)
Predicción 23.17%4.32momio equitativo
EV +0.800%
Ventaja +0.184%
Kelly +0.239%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.76%23.23%23.36%26.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.024.004.3528.57%24.86%25.00%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -7.04%E -5.82%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +0.800%E +0.184%K +0.239%G +0.002% | 5.6% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +0.336%E +0.078%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.359%E -0.084%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.359%E -0.084%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.11%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.89%EV -2.44%E -0.581%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.68%E -0.637%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.68%E -0.637%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| Caesars | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.68%E -0.637%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-24 23:28 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.68%E -0.637%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.68%E -0.637%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Fliff | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.68%E -0.637%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| ReBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.83%E -0.924%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.83%E -0.924%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 23:27 |
| BetAnything | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| GTbets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.81%E -6.51%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -3.97%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -7.77%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 23:28 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.47%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| Neds | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.95%E -3.14%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-24 23:18 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -7.04%E -5.82%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -14.26%E -3.85%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -1.66%E -1.30%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -18.90%E -5.40%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Polymarket | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Novig | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.90% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 23.10% | 1.6% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |