A Escola das Odds

Indiana Fever v Phoenix Mercury

Início: 2026-06-23 00:10 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 86–77 Phoenix Mercury

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Previsão 72.50%1.38odd justa
EV -2.85%
Vantagem -2.13%
Kelly -8.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.11%72.59%72.63%74.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.271.311.321.3478.74%76.10%75.76%74.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)

Previsão 27.50%3.64odd justa
EV +4.51%
Vantagem +1.19%
Kelly +1.61%
Crescimento +0.073%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.49%27.41%27.37%28.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.453.453.8031.25%28.99%28.99%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +4.51%E +1.19%K +1.61%G +0.073%3.2%2026-06-22 23:58
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.76%E +0.475%K +0.651%G +0.011%4.5%2026-06-23 00:00
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.382%E +0.105%K +0.144%G +0.001%3.7%2026-06-22 21:59
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +0.382%E +0.105%K +0.144%G +0.001%4.3%2026-06-22 23:59
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.93%E -6.24%K -29.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +0.382%E +0.105%K +0.144%G +0.001%6.1%2026-06-22 23:40
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.168%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.168%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 22:00
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.993%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 23:59
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.01%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.99%EV -1.82%E -0.509%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 23:10
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 23:39
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 21:59
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 22:29
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 00:00
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:59
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:19
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:19
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:20
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:20
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:19
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:19
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:19
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:20
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 23:29
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 23:29
ReBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.94%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 23:10
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 23:29
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 22:00
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:09
MyBookie.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 23:19
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-22 22:09
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-22 22:09
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -2.85%E -2.13%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 23:39
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:09
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 23:09
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 23:19
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 23:19
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-22 23:09
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-22 23:10
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-22 23:10
SportsBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 23:49
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 20:49
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 14:59
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -7.93%E -6.24%K -29.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-22 23:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-06-22 19:49
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-06-22 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-06-22 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-06-22 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-06-22 23:50
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-06-23 00:00
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-06-23 00:00
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%3.5%2026-06-23 00:00